August data reveals that the house price decline has slowed

Australia’s housing market is showing signs of improvement. In CoreLogic’s Home Value Index Report we can see that national dwelling values dropped by 0.4% over August, compared to 0.6% over July, meaning that the rate of decline has slowed. We’ve flattened the curve, so to speak.

Let’s pick out the top 3 of capital cities, in order of improvement.

Sydney saw a drop of 0.9% in July and a drop of 0.5%t in August, an improvement of 0.4%.

Brisbane dropped by 0.4%t in July and seems to be bottoming out already with a drop of 0.1% in August.

And then Melbourne, which matched a drop of 1.2% in July with another drop of 1.2% in August. Without context, it doesn’t sound too great, but taking into account that July probably was the darkest month, from an emotional perspective, with pretty much the whole month in Stage 4 lockdown. Living in Melbourne myself, I remember hearing the announcement and thinking I was not looking forward to those 6 weeks. I can imagine a lot of people would have felt similar, or worse. So in that perspective, a drop of only 1.2% is actually a good performance. Still, thousands of properties have sold in Melbourne in July— just not via auctions for the majority of them.

It just re-emphasises that the property market is in good nick. There are virtually no panic sales. The government support continues to protect us from a lot worse than we see now.

A quick look at the other capital cities:

Adelaide held steady with 0.0 %.
Perth also held steady, up from a 0.6% drop in July.
Hobart was up 0.1%, from a drop of 0.2% in July.
Darwin was up 1% from a drop of 0.3% in July and lastly:
Canberra was up 0.5%.

So as I hope you now also clearly see, things looked pretty good in August and in Melbourne, we are hopefully not far off from the easing of at least some restrictions and I reckon I’ll have an even more positive message next month.

Probably not an overall national increase of values, but that will happen this year.